Start by auditing your ideal customer profile. Write down the exact person who pays for your tool. If they spend their weekends reading API documentation, submit to HN. If they spend their time looking for productivity hacks or no-code tools,
schedule a PH launch.
Traffic and conversion metrics vary wildly between the two platforms.
- Traffic estimate: A front-page Hacker News post typically stays up for 10-14 hours and drives 10,000-25,000 unique hits.
- Conversion rate: Expect a 1-3% sign-up rate on HN, versus a 3-5% rate on PH based on historical open launch data.
Sample Math. If you send 10,000 visitors from a Hacker News launch and your landing page converts at a 2% sign-up rate, you generate 200 new users. If 5% of those users convert to a $50/month paid plan, your launch just generated $500 in Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR).